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Though it’s nonetheless a small pattern dimension after two weeks, large underdogs have been killing the bookies this season.
By means of the primary two weeks of the 2024/25 NFL season, NFL underdogs of a minimum of 5.5 factors are actually 9-1 towards the unfold. These 9 wins towards the unfold additionally embrace 5 outright victories, as famous by former ESPN sports activities betting analyst Ben Fawkes.
NFL underdogs of 5.5+ factors are actually 9-1 ATS this season with FIVE outright wins
— Ben Fawkes (@BFawkes22) September 17, 2024
These 5 upsets embrace the Atlanta Falcons over the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Evening Soccer, the Las Vegas Raiders over the Baltimore Ravens, the New Orleans Saints over the Dallas Cowboys, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the Detroit Lions, and the New England Patriots over the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 1.
The 2 upsets which have significantly decimated survivor leagues throughout the nation are the Pats’ Week 1 victory over Joe Burrow and the Bengals in Cincy, and the Raiders’ surprising upset of defending MVP Lamar Jackson and the Ravens in Baltimore this weekend.
The success of underdogs isn’t the one weird pattern we’ve seen to start out the NFL season. Passing touchdowns are additionally down a exceptional diploma, as there have been virtually 20% fewer touchdowns by the primary two weeks of this season in comparison with final.
Heading into Week 3, there are seven video games with spreads of a minimum of 5.5 factors: the New York Jets -6.5 over the New England Patriots, the Cleveland Browns -6 over the New York Giants, the Tampa Bay Bucs -7 over the Denver Broncos, the Las Vegas Raiders -5.5 over the Carolina Panthers, the San Francisco 49ers -7 over the Los Angeles Rams, the Buffalo Payments -5.5 over the Jacksonville Jaguars, and the Cincinnati Bengals -8 over the Washington Commanders.
Now that the pattern has been established, nonetheless, search for bookies to probably make changes and clear home in Week 3, which kicks off on Thursday evening with a matchup between the Patriots and Jets, who might be enjoying of their dwelling opener, marking Aaron Rodgers’ first sport at MetLife Stadium since tearing his Achilles in September 2023.
